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Suspect H5N1 Patients in Egypt Testing Positive?

Recombinomics Commentary 14:11
January 9, 2008

yesterday detained 15 different health directorates new cases were suspected of being infected with avian influenza to exceed the number of detainees in different governorates 55 cases of suspicion, while tests proved negative 33 others were detained were also monitoring 21 hotbed new in 8 days at the level of the Republic. In Western [Al Gharbiyah] Province, were detained 9 cases of family fully assess the village Alsjaih.

The father Hamada Darwish 45 years and wife Iman Musaad Desouki, 40 years and 20 years Fawzi son, Karim 15, and Muhammad 12 years, in addition to Huda Abd al-aged 28 and 14 years old Fathiya Bakry student Hospital salt and Mahala were detained while Ghada Abdel Ibrahim 30 years, Zeenat 37-year old Mohammad Rifai, hospital salt Tanta.

In Mansoura [Dakahlia] detained by the Directorate of Health both: Abdulaziz Shimaa 10 years, Center Line, Zakia Ibrahim Hamdi 45 years from the village swapbody, and Ibrahim Youssef Mohammed Aezzasenh Center Address, in a hospital Sadr addition to the existence of previous cases of Madiha Ibrahim, aged 55, and Jasmine just Mohamed 3 years, and Mohamed Adel Mohammed year and a half science, Hanan Mahmoud Aelchenaiti 28 years, the quality of Mr. Mohammed, aged 26, and Mahmoud Al quality of Mr. 25, and Abdel-Rahman Mahmoud Abdallah 58 years, Mr. Mahmoud Abdulwahid 49 years old, and Fatma Mohammed Eid 45 years, and insist Safnz Alija 25, and Mohammed Hamdi Muawwad 18, and Reza, Solomon and the `Nora, and the blessing of Muhammad Muhammad Abdul Hamid 35 years.

The central laboratories has shown some positive samples taken from them.

The above translation creates a confusing picture of the situation in Egypt.  The number of admitted patients continue to accelerate (see satellite map) and many of the admissions are clustered, either by geography or family. The translation above has the highest number of negatives, but since the number of hospitalized suspect cases described in local media in the past week is approximately 200, identifying the negatives is difficult.

The family of nine is the largest familial cluster thus far, and the list in Mansoura is the longest list of named patients for a specific region.  A week ago 10-25 patients were being admitted each day.  Now the numbers are closer to 25-50 per day.

The finding of positive(s) by the central lab, raises concerns that the large number of hospitalized patients represents more than an over abundance of caution. 

The number of locations reporting H5N1 positive birds continue to rise (see satellite map), and the hospital admissions follow the bird positives. 

However, prior to the announcement above, there was no indication that the suspect cases were testing positive.


More information on positives at the central lab, as well as transfers to Abbassia Fevers Hospital in Cairo, would be useful.

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