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Commentary
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Acquisition of Asian Sequences by H5N2 in British Columbia  

Recombinomics Commentary

March 5, 2006

Recent analysis of sequences in Astrakhan isolates has identified polymorphisms that are found in North America, raising the possibility that H5N1 has already migrated to North America.  In 2005 Canada surveyed young ducks that were swabbed in August as part of a banding study. Although HPAI H5N1 was not identified, a surprisingly high number of H5 isolates were identified.  In British Columbia 24% of the isolates were H5.  However, H5 isolates were found throughout southern Canada.  Although the bird flu sequences were said to have similarities with prior North America isolates, the sequences have not been deposited and therefore have not been analyzed fro H5N1 polymorphisms.

The only sequences deposited was an H5N2 isolated, A/duck/British Columbia/CN26-6/2005, from a farm duck.  Only partial HA and NA sequences were deposited.  The larger N2 sequences shared polymorphisms with a number of N2 isolates from Asia.  A few of these polymorphisms were also found in H5N2 isolates from California or Texas, but the majority of the sequences were H9N2 isolates from Asia, as shown by one of the representative polymorphisms shown below.

Because the polymorphisms are acquired by recombination, these newly acquired polymorphism can be used to create a historical path for the polymorphisms.  These past histories are most useful when applied to a robust sequence database.  Moreover, a current database can be used to track recent and future movements of the virus as well as new recombinations base on the prevalent strains in the area.

Most of the recent isolates however, are not publicly available.  They have been placed in a private database maintained by WHO. The WHO announcements on the sequences indicate that they are evolving via "random mutations" and future changes cannot be predicted.  However, because the changes are primarily due to recombination, co-circulation of parental sequences can be used to predict recombinant.. Changes have been predicted for the receptor binding domain.  As predicted, S227N appeared in the Middle East in the fall, and a Spring acquisition by H5N1of G228S in Europe has been predicted.

A robust and current database would allow for additional predictions. WHO should immediately release these sequences.

G179A

DQ309439  A/duck/BritishColumbia/CN26-6/05    2005  H5N2   
AY790307   A/swine/Korea/S452/2004                       2004  H9N2   
AY790277   A/swine/Korea/S81/2004                         2004  H9N2   
AY800235   A/chicken/Korea/S1/2003                        2003  H9N2   
AY862633   A/chicken/Korea/S12/03                          2003  H9N2   
AY862637   A/chicken/Korea/S16/03                          2003  H9N2   
AY862638   A/chicken/Korea/S18/03                          2003  H9N2   
AY862631   A/chicken/Korea/S4/03                            2003  H9N2   
AY862632   A/chicken/Korea/S5/03                            2003  H9N2   
AY862635   A/dove/Korea/S14/03                               2003  H9N2   
AY862634   A/duck/Korea/S13/03                               2003  H9N2   
AY862630   A/silky chicken/Korea/S3/03                    2003  H9N2   
AY300945   A/turkey/CA/D0208652-C/02                 2002  H5N2   
AY262367   A/chicken/Hebei/1/01                                2001  H9N2   
DQ064412  A/chicken/Guangdong/4/00                      2000  H9N2   
DQ064419  A/chicken/Hebei/31/00                              2000  H9N2   
AY180813   A/Chicken/Nanchang/1-0016/2000         2000  H9N2   
AY180815   A/Chicken/Nanchang/4-010/2000           2000  H9N2   
AY180819   A/Duck/Nanchang/1-0070/2000              2000  H9N2   
AY180825   A/Duck/Nanchang/7-092/2000                2000  H9N2   
AY180828   A/Pigeon/Nanchang/7-058/2000             2000  H9N2   
AY180829   A/Quail/Nanchang/2-0460/2000              2000  H9N2   
AY180820   A/Quail/Nanchang/4-040/2000                2000  H9N2   
AF222658   A/Chicken/Hong Kong/KC12/99             1999  H9N2   
AF536717   A/Chicken/Liaoning/99                             1999  H9N2   
DQ064429  A/chicken/Ningxia/4/99                             1999  H9N2   
AF508583   A/Chicken/Beijing/8/98                             1998  H9N2   
DQ064434  A/chicken/Beijing/8/98                              1998  H9N2   
AF536714   A/Chicken/Hebei/2/98                               1998  H9N2   
AF536715   A/Chicken/Hebei/3/98                               1998  H9N2   
AF508586   A/Chicken/Hebei/4/98                               1998  H9N2   
DQ064424  A/chicken/Henan/5/98                                1998  H9N2   
AF536716   A/Chicken/Henan/98                                  1998  H9N2   
AF536710   A/Chicken/Beijing/2/97                              1997  H9N2   
AF508595   A/Quail/Shanghai/8/96                               1996  H9N2
 
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