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Commentary

Fujian H5N2 Missouri Spread - Lewis County Concerns
Recombinomics Commentary
May 5, 2015 19:00

State County        Flyway       Flock type               Serotype Confirm
MN Stearns         Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2      May 1
MN Stearns         Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2      May 1
IA  Sioux               Mississippi Commerce  Chickens  H5N2    May 1
IA  Pochahontas  Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys    H5N2    May 1
MN Otter Tail       Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys    H5N2    May 1
IA  Kossuth          Mississippi Commerce  Chickens  H5N2    May 1
IA  Clay                Mississippi Commerce  Chickens  H5N2    May 1
IA  Buenva Vista Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys    H5N2    May 1
IA  Buenva Vista Mississippi Commerce  Chickens  H5N2    May 1
IA  Buenva Vista Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys    H5N2    April 30
MN Kandiyohi      Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2     April 30
IA  Buenva Vista Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys    H5N2    April 30
IA  Buenva Vista Mississippi Commerce Chickens  H5N2    April 30
WI  Barron           Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys    H5N2    April 30
MN Stearns         Mississippi Commerce Chickens  H5N2    April 29
IA  Buenva Vista Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys    H5N2    April 29
A   Sioux             Mississippi Commerce   Chickens H5N2    April28

IA   O'Brien          Mississippi Commerce   Chickens H5N2    April28
IA   O'Brien          Mississippi Commerce   Chickens H5N2    April28
IA   Osceola         Mississippi Commerce   Chickens H5N2    April28
MN Stearns         Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2      April 28

MN Steele            Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2      April 28
MN Swift               Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2      April 28
MN Kandiyohi      Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2      April 28
MN Kandiyohi      Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2      April 28
MN Kandiyohi      Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2      April 28
MN Kandiyohi      Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2      April 28
MN Stearns         Mississippi Commerce    Turkeys  H5N2      April 27
IA   Sioux             Mississippi Commerce   Chickens H5N2      April 27
WI  Barron           Mississippi Commerce    Turkeys  H5N2      April 27
IA   Sac                Mississippi Commerce    Turkeys  H5N2      April 24
ND LaMoure       Central        Commerce     Mixed    H5N2       April 24
WI  Jefferson       Mississippi Commerce    Turkeys  H5N2      April 24   
MN Kandiyohi      Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2      April 24
MN Kandiyohi      Mississippi Commerce    Turkeys  H5N2     April 24
MN  Chippewa     Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2      April 24
WI  Chippewa      Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys   H5N2     April 23
MN Clay                Mississippi Commerce  Chickens H5N2     Aprl 23
MN Kandiyohi       Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 23
MN Kandiyohi       Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 23
MN Pipestone      Mississippi  Backyard     Mixed     H5N2      April 22
MN Kandiyohi       Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2     April 22
MN Stearns           Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2     April 22

MN Stearns           Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2     April 22
MN Kandiyohi       Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2     April 22
MN Kandiyohi       Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2     April 22
MN Kandiyohi       Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2     April 22
MN Redwood       Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2      April 22
MN Meeker           Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2      April 22
MN Otter Trail        Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 22
MN Stearns           Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2     April 21
MN Kandiyohi       Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2     April 21

MN Kandiyohi       Mississippi Commerce   Turkeys  H5N2     April 21
MN Meeker           Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2     April 21
MN Meeker           Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2     April 21
MN Redwood        Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 20
MN Cottonwood    Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 20
MN Wadena          Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 20
MN Kandiyohi        Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 20
SD Spink               Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 20
IA   Osceola           Mississippi Commerce  Chickens H5N2     April 20
MN Kandiyohi        Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2     April 17
MN Kandiyohi        Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2     April 17
WI  Juneau             Mississippi Backyard     Mixed      H5N2     April 17
WI  Barron              Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 16
MN Roseau            Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 16
MN Kandiyohi        Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 15
MN  Stearns           Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 15
MN  Otter Tail         Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 15
SD  Roberts           Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 15
MN  Meeker           Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 14 
MN  Kandiyohi       Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 14
MN  Meeker           Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 14
MN  Redwood        Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys  H5N2      April 14
MN  Swift                Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2     April 14    
MN  Stearns           Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 13
MN  Swift                Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 13
IA     Buena Vista   Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 13
MN  Le Sueur         Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 11
WI    Jefferson        Mississippi Commerce  Chickens H5N2     April 11
ND   Dickey            Central        Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 10
MN   Kandiyohi       Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 11
SD   McCook          Central        Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 10
SD   McPherson     Central        Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 10
MN   Cottonwood    Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2     April 9
MN   Lyon                Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 9
MN   Stearns           Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 9
MN   Watonwan      Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 9
SD   Kingsbury       Central        Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 8
MN   Meeker           Mississippi Commerce Turkeys    H5N2      April 7
MN   Kandiyohi       Mississippi Commerce  Turkeys   H5N2      April 7
MN   Kandiyohi       Mississippi Commerce Turkeys    H5N2      April 4
MN   Stearns           Mississippi Commerce Turkeys    H5N2      April 4
MT   Judith Basin    Central        Backyard    Mixed       H5N2     April 2
MN   Stearns           Mississippi Commerce Turkeys    H5N2      April 2
SD   Beadle            Central        Commerce Turkeys    H5N2     April 1
MN   Nobles            Mississippi Commerce Turkeys    H5N2     April 2
MN   Stearns           Mississippi Commerce Turkeys    H5N2     March 28
MN   Lac Qui Parle Mississippi Commerce Turkeys    H5N2     March 27
KS    Leavenworth  Central        Backyard    Mixed      H5N2     March 13
AR    Boone            Mississippi Commerce Turkeys    H5N2     March 11
MO   Moniteau        Mississippi Commerce Turkeys    H5N2     March 10
MO   Jasper            Mississippi Commerce Turkeys    H5N2     March 9
MN   Pope               Mississippi Commerce Turkeys    H5N2     March 4

The above May 4 APHIS list adds 9 farm outbreaks confirmed on May 1 (see H5N2 map). The new format on the APIS page keeps a running total of the number of afected birds, which was at 21,644,473.  Hoverever, totals for many of the recent farms have not been entered.

Moreover, Minnesota and Iowa have been reporting H5 confirmed outbreaks prior to H5N2 conirmation, which indicates the above list will soon have large chicken outbreaks including 2,800,000 in Wright County, Iowa and  1,102,900 chickens in Nicollet County, Minnesota, pushing the total well above 25 million.

When the H5 is confirmed in Ames, Iowa other contries are notified, which leads to poultry bans.Thus, the May 1 confirmations above have led to bans in three counties in Iowa (Clay, Kossuth, and Pochahontas), while confirmations on May 4 have led to bans in three additional counties in Iowa (Cherokee, Madison, and Wright), as well as a new county in Minnesota (Renville), which corresponded to previously announced outbreaks.

However, poultry has also been banned in Lewis County, Missouri, indicating confirmation was made on May 4 in a state that has not reported poultry cases since March 10.  This confirmation raises concerns that H5N2 is now circulating in resident wild birds, leading to new outbreaks in the midwest not linked to the migrating birds causing the more northern outbreaks.

Thus, the midwest outbreaks may continue, even though much of the migration from these more southern states has been largely completed.

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